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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.2%
Gresley
26.7%
Draw
30.2%
Sporting Khalsa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Gresley

vs
1.06

Sporting Khalsa

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).