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AHT: 01

31 Jan 2025 · 20:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.3%
Boavista
29.0%
Draw
55.7%
Famalicao

Expected Goals (xG)

0.62

Boavista

vs
1.42

Famalicao

Markets

BTTS35.9%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.6%
0-0
13.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
2.5%
2-0
2.5%
0-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).