Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.5%
AFC Wimbledon
19.8%
Draw
59.8%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.99
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
3.9%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).