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26 Jan 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.6%
Le Mans
27.2%
Draw
37.2%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Le Mans

vs
1.10

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS42.8%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.6%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
0-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).