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06 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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83.0%
Alloa
11.8%
Draw
5.3%
Edinburgh City

Expected Goals (xG)

2.98

Alloa

vs
0.68

Edinburgh City

Markets

BTTS47.2%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
4-1
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
5.1%
5-1
3.4%
0-0
2.9%
2-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).