Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.9%
Paderborn
18.8%
Draw
8.3%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Paderborn
vs
0.63
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
1-0
12.1%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
5-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).