Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Ipswich
24.2%
Draw
13.8%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Ipswich
vs
0.73
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).