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11 May 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.3%
Öster
26.7%
Draw
41.0%
Elfsborg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Öster

vs
1.59

Elfsborg

Markets

BTTS61.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).