Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Austria Wien
26.2%
Draw
38.0%
Sturm Graz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Austria Wien
vs
1.50
Sturm Graz
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).