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22 Apr 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.3%
Le Havre
32.1%
Draw
19.6%
Grenoble

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Le Havre

vs
0.53

Grenoble

Markets

BTTS25.8%
Over 0.580.1%
Over 1.545.6%
Over 2.520.9%
Over 3.57.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
22.5%
0-0
19.9%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
6.0%
3-0
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
3.0%
3-1
2.1%
2-2
1.6%
4-0
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).