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AHT: 01CSV

20 Feb 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.5%
Mouscron
26.0%
Draw
46.5%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Mouscron

vs
1.61

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS56.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).