Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.2%
Brentford
23.3%
Draw
20.5%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Brentford
vs
1.23
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).