Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Morecambe
24.2%
Draw
38.9%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Morecambe
vs
1.43
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).