Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Ath Bilbao
34.0%
Draw
24.4%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.71
Getafe
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.552.0%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.2%
1-0
17.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).