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AHT: 11CSV

11 Nov 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.3%
Eupen
28.4%
Draw
37.3%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Eupen

vs
1.29

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).