Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Girona
25.0%
Draw
25.2%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Girona
vs
1.13
Espanol
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).