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08 Dec 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.8%
Anderlecht
20.5%
Draw
15.7%
K. Beerschot V.A.

Expected Goals (xG)

2.14

Anderlecht

vs
0.97

K. Beerschot V.A.

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).