Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Barrow
25.0%
Draw
32.5%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Barrow
vs
1.21
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).