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11 Apr 2026 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.0%
Pescara
27.8%
Draw
28.2%
Sampdoria

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Pescara

vs
1.17

Sampdoria

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).