Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Wrexham
26.0%
Draw
31.8%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Wrexham
vs
1.38
Norwich
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).