Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.0%
Lazio
28.4%
Draw
48.6%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Lazio
vs
1.29
Como
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
12.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).