Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Auxerre
18.0%
Draw
15.6%
Quevilly Rouen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Auxerre
vs
0.91
Quevilly Rouen
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.8%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.5%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
0-1
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).