Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.2%
Lincoln
15.7%
Draw
11.2%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Lincoln
vs
0.76
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
0-0
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).