Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Alaves
29.0%
Draw
29.2%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Alaves
vs
1.00
Elche
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).