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15 Dec 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.9%
Mouscron
24.1%
Draw
18.0%
Oostende

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Mouscron

vs
0.91

Oostende

Markets

BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).