Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Gillingham
24.6%
Draw
49.2%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Gillingham
vs
1.52
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).