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05 Oct 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.8%
Andorra
27.1%
Draw
23.1%
Zaragoza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Andorra

vs
0.85

Zaragoza

Markets

BTTS43.1%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).