Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.3%
St Pauli
17.0%
Draw
7.7%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
St Pauli
vs
0.67
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
3-0
10.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).