Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.6%
Ajaccio
25.4%
Draw
52.9%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Ajaccio
vs
1.40
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
11.2%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).