Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.5%
Montpellier
13.4%
Draw
79.1%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Montpellier
vs
2.55
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.4%
0-3
11.4%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
7.3%
1-1
6.3%
1-4
4.6%
0-0
3.8%
0-5
3.7%
1-0
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).