Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Sunderland
31.3%
Draw
30.7%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Sunderland
vs
1.01
Norwich
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).