Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Augsburg
29.2%
Draw
31.4%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Augsburg
vs
1.12
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).