Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Valencia
31.5%
Draw
24.3%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Valencia
vs
0.78
Alaves
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).