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11 Aug 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.7%
Amorebieta
25.7%
Draw
54.6%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Amorebieta

vs
1.52

Levante

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.4%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).