Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.2%
Cartagena
18.6%
Draw
64.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Cartagena
vs
2.32
Almeria
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-1
8.2%
0-1
7.5%
1-3
7.5%
0-3
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).