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DHT: 10

26 Apr 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.6%
Rostov
29.1%
Draw
34.3%
Lokomotiv Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Rostov

vs
1.30

Lokomotiv Moskva

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).