Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.1%
Kelty Hearts
24.2%
Draw
60.6%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Kelty Hearts
vs
1.78
Alloa
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).