⚽ FootballData
0 – 0
DHT: 00CSV

16 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
23.5%
Hartlepool
30.8%
Draw
45.7%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Hartlepool

vs
1.29

Southend

Markets

BTTS42.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.0%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
12.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).