Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.6%
Peterboro
17.0%
Draw
13.3%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Peterboro
vs
0.82
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.7%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
0-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).