Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Livorno
30.0%
Draw
39.0%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Livorno
vs
1.29
Como
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).