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18 May 2025 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.2%
Osasuna
23.4%
Draw
19.5%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Osasuna

vs
0.96

Espanol

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
2.9%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).