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DHT: 11

19 Oct 2025 · 11:30

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.3%
Cercle Brugge
25.0%
Draw
43.7%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.63

Genk

Markets

BTTS60.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).