Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.4%
Blackburn
26.0%
Draw
67.5%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Blackburn
vs
1.50
Burnley
Markets
BTTS20.7%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.510.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
24.2%
0-2
18.6%
0-0
17.1%
0-3
9.3%
1-1
8.0%
1-2
5.6%
1-0
4.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-1
1.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-4
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).