⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 10CSV

28 May 2023 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
18.4%
Leicester
26.3%
Draw
55.4%
West Ham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Leicester

vs
1.78

West Ham

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-2
10.3%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
2.9%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).