Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Nurnberg
29.6%
Draw
35.5%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Nurnberg
vs
1.25
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).