Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Bologna
23.0%
Draw
17.7%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Bologna
vs
0.83
Empoli
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).