Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Umraniyespor
31.5%
Draw
35.8%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Umraniyespor
vs
1.42
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).