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HHT: 11CSV

13 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.6%
Osasuna
17.4%
Draw
10.0%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

2.34

Osasuna

vs
0.76

Granada

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.7%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).