Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.2%
Ath Bilbao
13.1%
Draw
5.6%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.58
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
3-0
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
4-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.1%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-0
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).