Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Augsburg
26.6%
Draw
52.3%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Augsburg
vs
1.61
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).